In a few words I’d like to explain why I chose to place Bullionvault and Plus500 (Your capital is at risk) ads on longtermtrends.net. I only recommend services that I use myself. However, as I’ll outline in the following, I use them for very different purposes.

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In my previous post I wrote about generational cycles, which were identified by Neil Howe and William Strauss. However, cycles also appear in financial markets. Have you heard of legendary investors from the 19th and early 20th century that allegedly predicted financial booms and busts of the following 100 years? In the following I am going to take a closer look some of these investors and the predictions they made.

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“History is seasonal, and winter is coming.” (Neil Howe)

Some questions have been haunting me in recent years:

• Why do most institutions seem completely dysfunctional (the current US administration, the EU, the ECB, the FED, and the UN)?
• How come that Trump, a narcissistic populist was elected into power?
• Why is the call for order (or even for fascism) getting louder? (e.g. calls from the French National Front, the Dutch Party for Freedom, the Alternative for Germany, the Freedom Party of Austria, and the UK Independence Party)
• Why are we seeing these nationalist movements and why did Britain vote to leave the EU?
• Why is the FED a private entity who’s shareholders are unknown. What is wrong with our money that we use every day?
• How will southern Europe get out of the mess that they find themselves in – with record rates of youth unemployment? ..do they have to abandon the Euro? ..what currency will follow?

I recently found some answers to these questions when I stumbled upon this podcast with Neil Howe. 

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The Shiller PE ratio is on the highest level since 2000. We are now on the same level as in the bubble of 1929.

http://www.longtermtrends.net/price-earnings-ratio/

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